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Friday, September 7, 2012

THE HOLDING PERIOD EFFECTS ON VALUE-AT-RISK ANALYSIS


ABSTRACT

This paper presents the comparative study of Value-at-Risk (VaR) estimates based on the holding period effects. Applying to different observation horizons and confidence levels (95% and 99%), the sample period covers from November 24, 2000 until November 23, 2005. The procedure is based on a full valuation approach namely the historical simulation to determine the VaR estimates by using selected stocks traded in the first board of the Malaysian stock exchange. Based on the analysis, mix results are shown when different holding periods are used. Further illustrations include that the length of the observation periods and confidence levels are also important in determining the VaR values.

Keywords:       Value-at-Risk, historical simulation, holding period, confidence level

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